Saturday, November 28, 2020

Iran Coronavirus October 29 – ICU, the Last COVID-19 Stop!

Another record for daily COVID-19 cases in Iran. Highest number of daily jump in active cases as well. Statistics discrepancies continue. Officials admit Muharram gatherings were a big mistake!

Ministry of Health Spokesperson announced 8,293 new cases have tested positive for coronavirus, while 399 have passed away in the past 24 hours. That’s the new record for daily cases, even though they’re solely based on positive PCR tests and only a fraction of population gets tested every day. Islamic Republic data are also manipulated since the beginning of the epidemic in the country.

Sadat Lari used her war time analogy once again and asked all executive agencies to be more strict in their duties and crack down on whomever not abiding by health protocols. She said even though there might be some conflicts between health and other aspects of people’s lives, health takes priority and must be taken seriously by all governmental agencies. Loose enforcement of the protocols has been one of the major issues in the country for more than 8.5 months!

Hospitals across the country continue to report overwhelming number of cases entering through their doors every day! While active cases are soaring through the roof, critical cases are increasing too but on a disproportionate rate! According to officials, compared to the first two waves, patients arrive at the hospitals in more severe conditions needing oxygen and ICU beds. Dr Iraj Harirchi, Deputy Health Minister, said at least 50% of those admitted to ICU will end up dead. Considering about 20% of all admissions require intensive care, a simple calculation shows the numbers announced by Ministry of Health don’t add up.

Sadat Lari reported 2,924 admissions in the past 24 hours in the country. Roughly 20% of whom should be in critical cases category, which is 584! But she announced the total number of critical cases 5,055 which is only 43 more than what was reported yesterday. This is not the first time discrepancies happen in reported numbers!

While the entire country is grappling with COVID-19, some officials including Saeed Namaki continue to praise his work and “preparedness” to combat the virus! Head of Kerman Medical University admits religious gatherings including Muharram and Arbain plus schools reopening are one reason behind the new surge in cases and deaths! He also confirmed that the number of deaths and cases due to COVID-19 are higher than announced because those only include the ones with “positive test results” which has a high false negative rate and not everybody gets tested.

Basic Reproduction Rate (R0) had another 3 points jump. Graphs show the rise in all numbers. Testing has increased but despite what officials claim, that’s not the reason for increase in cases. In addition to this theory being debunked before, the positivity rate is another indication. On October 25 with abut 30,500 tests, 20.3% tested positive while today, with about 35,700 tests, 23.2% had coronavirus detected in their bodies! The number of active cases have jumped the most in one day since the epidemic began in February 2020.
R0: 2.05
Total: 596,941 (+8,293)
Dead: 34,113 (+399)
Healed: 472,598
Critical: 5,055 (+43)
Admitted: 90,230 (+3,213)
Tests: 4,857,392 (6.2% of the population, assuming each test was performed on 1 person)


Cover: Erfan Khoshkhoo

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OFFICIAL STATS

Iran
47,486
Total deaths
Updated on November 28, 2020 8:12 PM
Iran
648,831
Total recovered
Updated on November 28, 2020 8:12 PM
Iran
935,799
Total confirmed cases
Updated on November 28, 2020 8:12 PM
Iran
239,482
Total active cases
Updated on November 28, 2020 8:12 PM

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